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How does Tampa’s property insurance market affect home affordability long-term?

  • Emeri Lewkowicz
  • 02/17/26

If you’re buying, selling, or investing in Tampa real estate right now, you already know that property insurance is part of the conversation.

But what most buyers don’t think about is this:

It’s not just about what insurance costs today. It’s about whether that home remains financially sustainable over the next 5–10 years.

As Tampa real estate experts with over 40+ years of combined experience, Emeri and Joe Lewkowicz have guided clients through multiple market cycles — from post-2008 corrections to pandemic-driven appreciation, and now through Florida’s evolving insurance landscape.

Let’s break down what this really means for you long-term.

Why Insurance Is a Bigger Factor in Tampa Than Most Markets

Living in Florida — and specifically in the greater Tampa Bay area — means we deal with hurricanes, coastal exposure, and rising rebuild costs. After storms like Hurricane Ian, insurance carriers reassessed risk statewide, and premiums shifted dramatically.

Some carriers left Florida entirely. Others tightened underwriting. Deductibles changed. Roof age became a major issue.

This isn’t a temporary blip — it’s a structural shift in the market.

And that’s where long-term affordability comes in.

The Real Cost of a Home Isn’t Just the Mortgage

When buyers focus only on interest rates and purchase price, they’re missing the bigger financial picture.

In Tampa, your true monthly cost includes:

  • Principal & Interest

  • Property Taxes

  • Homeowners Insurance

  • Flood Insurance (in certain zones)

  • HOA fees (if applicable)

Insurance can now represent a meaningful portion of a homeowner’s monthly expense — and that impacts:

  • Debt-to-income ratios

  • Future resale value

  • Rental cash flow (for investors)

  • Long-term budgeting comfort

Emeri often tells buyers: “A home isn’t affordable just because you can close on it. It’s affordable if you can comfortably own it for years.”

That mindset changes everything.

5–10 Year Sustainability: What Buyers Should Be Asking

Joe always advises clients to think forward:

What happens if premiums increase 10–15% over the next few years?

Because historically in Florida, they often do.

Here’s what we guide our clients to evaluate:

1. Roof Age & Condition

Older roofs (especially 15+ years) can dramatically affect insurability and premiums. Replacing a roof proactively can stabilize long-term costs.

2. Flood Zone Designation

Homes near the coast, in areas like St. Pete Beach or parts of Clearwater, may require flood insurance. That cost needs to be factored into 10-year projections — not just year one.

3. Construction Type

Concrete block homes tend to perform better in underwriting than older wood-frame properties.

4. Wind Mitigation & 4-Point Inspections

These aren’t just paperwork — they can significantly impact premium costs and insurability stability.

How Insurance Impacts Sellers

Sellers need to understand something important:

Insurance history now affects resale value.

If a property has:

  • An aging roof

  • Past claims

  • High current premiums

  • Difficulty getting coverage

It can shrink your buyer pool.

Buyers today are more educated. They’re asking for insurance quotes during the inspection period. They’re walking away from homes with unstable insurance profiles.

We regularly advise sellers to:

  • Replace roofs before listing (if near end of life)

  • Obtain a current insurance quote to share with buyers

  • Complete wind mitigation inspections in advance

That preparation protects pricing power.

Investors: The Silent Profit Killer

For investors, insurance is often the variable that erodes cash flow the fastest.

A $2,000 annual premium increase over 10 years equals $20,000 — and that’s before considering compounding rent strategy adjustments.

We work with investors across Tampa, from Wesley Chapel to Riverview, and the conversation is no longer just about cap rate — it’s about expense stability.

Long-term investors win when they:

  • Buy structurally sound homes

  • Avoid properties with deferred maintenance

  • Budget conservatively for premium increases

  • Prioritize neighborhoods with strong infrastructure and elevation

The Good News: Tampa Is Still Strong

Here’s the bigger picture.

Tampa remains one of Florida’s most desirable and economically resilient markets. Job growth, population migration, and lifestyle appeal continue to drive demand.

Insurance is a factor — yes.

But it’s manageable with strategy.

That’s where experience matters.

After four decades combined in this market, Emeri and Joe don’t just help clients buy or sell homes. They help them make financially sustainable decisions.

Because affordability isn’t about today’s payment.

It’s about:

  • Peace of mind

  • Predictable ownership

  • Resale confidence

  • Long-term wealth building

And in Tampa, navigating insurance wisely is part of that equation.

If you’re considering buying, selling, or investing, the smartest move isn’t guessing what insurance will do next.

It’s working with experts who’ve seen how these cycles play out — and know how to position you to win over the next 5–10 years, not just the next 30 days.

WORK WITH JOE

With over 40+ years of experience, Joe has proven himself to be a prominent figure in the Tampa Bay Real Estate market. Selling thousands of homes throughout his career, Joe is known for his exceptional customer service, attention to detail, market-savviness, and calculated decisions.

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